@article{2896, keywords = {Biomedical Research, Capital Financing, Costs and Cost Analysis, Discount rate, Drug Industry, Innovation, Pharmaceutical industry, R&D cost, Technical success rates, United States}, author = {Joseph A. DiMasi and Henry G. Grabowski and Ronald W. Hansen}, title = {Innovation in the pharmaceutical industry: New estimates of R&D costs}, abstract = {The research and development costs of 106 randomly selected new drugs were obtained from a survey of 10 pharmaceutical firms. These data were used to estimate the average pre-tax cost of new drug and biologics development. The costs of compounds abandoned during testing were linked to the costs of compounds that obtained marketing approval. The estimated average out-of-pocket cost per approved new compound is $1395 million (2013 dollars). Capitalizing out-of-pocket costs to the point of marketing approval at a real discount rate of 10.5% yields a total pre-approval cost estimate of $2558 million (2013 dollars). When compared to the results of the previous study in this series, total capitalized costs were shown to have increased at an annual rate of 8.5% above general price inflation. Adding an estimate of post-approval R&D costs increases the cost estimate to $2870 million (2013 dollars).}, year = {2016}, journal = {Journal of Health Economics}, volume = {47}, pages = {20-33}, month = {2016-05}, issn = {1879-1646}, url = {https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0167629616000291?via%3Dihub}, doi = {10.1016/j.jhealeco.2016.01.012}, language = {eng}, }